The total population count is over the next 25 years projected to decline from todays 55,986 persons to 51.853 in 2040. In 2040 there will be around 4.000 fewer people in Greenland than today, if no unexpected changes in fertility, mortality and migration occur. Over the 25 years the population's average age will increase to 37,6 years from 35,2 today. The population continues to be younger than, say the Danish population where the average age today is approx. 40 years.

 

Table 1. The Population’s age distribution 1985-2040, selected years

 

1985

1995

2005

2015

2025

2035

2040

 

                                                                   persons                                                                   

Total

52.940

55.732

56.969

55.984

54.542

52.729

51.853

0-6

6.649

7.916

6.147

5.509

5.431

4.940

4.805

7-16

8.707

8.920

10.181

7.784

7.685

7.341

7.011

17-24

10.357

5.526

6.418

7.050

5.842

5.646

5.596

25-59

24.277

29.332

28.831

28.621

26.515

25.330

24.987

60-69

1.817

2.776

3.567

4.460

6.180

5.497

5.053

70+

1.133

1.262

1.825

2.560

2.889

3.975

4.401

 

                                                                   percent                                                                   

0-6

12,6

14,2

10,8

9,8

10,0

9,4

9,3

7-16

16,4

16,0

17,9

13,9

14,1

13,9

13,5

17-24

19,6

9,9

11,3

12,6

10,7

10,7

10,8

25-59

45,9

52,6

50,6

51,1

48,6

48,0

48,2

60-69

3,4

5,0

6,3

8,0

11,3

10,4

9,7

70+

2,1

2,3

3,2

4,6

5,3

7,5

8,5

See figures in our Statbank ( http://bank.stat.gl/beeprog )

 

Over the projection period, the share of elderly people (70 +) will double. The population in working ages will decline, but still constitute about half the population.

 

These are the main results of the projection of the Greenlandic population, based on the population count January 1st 2015 and experiences from vital statistics 2005-2014 .

 

Detailed calculation results by gender, 1 year age groups and place of birth can be found in our Statbank http://bank.stat.gl/beeprog